St Josephs (PA)
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 95.0988Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 2-20 214 A Villanova Big East ( 6- 8, 93.0) 11- 9 220 H Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 12-11 301 A Duke ACC ( 9- 4, 98.6) 6-12 307 H Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 10- 7 314 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 4-10, 87.6) 24- 6 321 A Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 3-10, 88.8) 17- 7 328 H High Point Atlantic 10 ( 6- 8, 93.3) 15-16 404 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 12-14 418 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 1, 99.1) 11-13 424 H Delaware CAA ( 5- 8, 89.8) 15- 5 430 N High Point Atlantic 10 ( 6- 8, 93.3) 11- 9 o 502 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 1, 99.1) 6- 8 o
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Syracuse 2-20 -18 -5 - -2.08
214 A Villanova 11- 9 2 1 1.32
220 H Towson 12-11 1 1 -0.14
301 A Duke 6-12 -6 -5 -1.11
307 H Drexel 10- 7 3 4 -0.57
314 H St Bonaventure 24- 6 18 9 0.00
321 A Hobart 17- 7 10 5 + 2.06
328 H High Point 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.20
404 A Massachusetts 12-14 -2 1 - -2.59
418 A Richmond 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.40
424 H Delaware 15- 5 10 7 0.32
430 N High Point 11- 9 o 2 2 0.17
502 A Richmond 6- 8 o -2 -5 + 3.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H High Point 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.20 207 A Syracuse 2-20 -18 -5 - -2.08 404 A Massachusetts 12-14 -2 1 - -2.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Hobart 17- 7 10 5 + 2.06 418 A Richmond 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.40 502 A Richmond 6- 8 o -2 -5 + 3.40 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 2-20 -1.26 19.34 1.38 1.10 -0.07
3 A Villanova ( 6- 8, 93.0) 11- 9 -6.85 13.74 1.38 1.10 33.29
3 H Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 12-11 -4.57 16.03 -1.38 1.10 32.27
3 A Duke ( 9- 4, 98.6) 6-12 -1.28 19.32 1.38 1.10 -0.05
3 H Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 10- 7 -6.99 13.61 -1.38 1.10 26.93
3 H St Bonaventure ( 4-10, 87.6) 24- 6 -12.34 8.26 -1.38 1.10 15.15
3 A Hobart ( 3-10, 88.8) 17- 7 -11.11 9.49 1.38 1.10 23.91
3 H High Point ( 6- 8, 93.3) 15-16 -6.63 13.97 -1.38 1.10 -4.40
3 A Massachusetts (10- 6, 93.1) 12-14 -6.77 13.83 1.38 1.10 -2.97
3 A Richmond (14- 1, 99.1) 11-13 -0.77 19.82 1.38 1.10 -0.33
3 H Delaware ( 5- 8, 89.8) 15- 5 -10.11 10.49 -1.38 1.10 20.07
3 N High Point ( 6- 8, 93.3) 11- 9 -6.63 13.97 -0.00 1.10 30.76
3 A Richmond (14- 1, 99.1) 6- 8 -0.77 19.82 1.38 1.10 -0.33
------
174.24
|
winning pts = 182.3921 losing points = -8.1498
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------